兩岸交流三十年來的跌宕起伏，從衝突到和解，再從和解到衝突，成為兩岸不可逆轉的互動模式。本研究透過建構主義中溫特對於「結構」與「觀念」的概念作為途徑分析，並對於兩岸當前的互動模式以及國民兩黨對於兩岸關係的意念加以歸納與分析。本研究同時整理歸納國際因素對於兩岸關係的影響，並分析兩岸關係中的內部與外部因素。本研究的研究範圍為2008年至2018，透過這段期間內所發生的台灣政黨輪替以及兩岸關係發展，來思索未來兩岸關係的出路；從中也可觀察到蔡en-US就任至今的兩岸「維持現狀」做法，似乎已無法全面性地呼應台灣民眾對於民生、經濟層面的期待。因此，本研究透過建構主義中的「相互依賴」、「機遇共享」以及「共同承擔風險」等兩岸政治、經濟與文化等面向，藉此探究目前呈現停滯的兩岸關係將如何確保雙方和平發展模式的塑造與永續經營，深化雙方之「同質性」共識，降低「異質性」的意識衝突，並且衍生雙方能夠達成「自我約束」之兩岸建構行為規範，產生兩岸互相融合的新里程。 The past thirty years has been a time of complexity and change in Cross-Strait relations. Amidst these ups and downs, the constant repetition of reconciliation and conflict in Cross-Strait relations has become an irreversible interactive model between the two sides. This study is based on Wendt’s analysis of the concepts of “structure” and “concept” in constructivism, and summarizes the “interior factors” and “international factors” in the Cross-strait relations. This study (1) consolidates the Cross-Strait interaction model of the KMT and the DPP administration periods; (2) summarizes Mainland’s Taiwan policy of recent years; and (3) analyzes the changes in policies and relations between the two sides over the past decade. This study examines the political, economic, and cultural aspects of “interdependence,” “opportunity sharing,” and “joint risk”, to comprehensively discuss how the current stagnation in Cross-Strait relations will ensure the bilateral peaceful development, deepen the consensus of “homogeneity” between the two sides, reduce the conflict of “heterogeneity” consciousness, and achieve a behavioral norm of “self-discipline” in Cross-Strait relations, deriving a new interactive model of Cross-Strait integration.
